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(12/8/2008) SportsQuant Bowl Predictions!Just like we've done for the past few years, we're making our bowl predictions available. The short version is that we have Florida as double-digit favorite over Oklahoma. We'll track our progress as the bowls play out. (12/8/2008) Southern Cal Finishes Regular Season #1Our final regular season football ratings are out. As has been the case for about a month, Southern Cal and Florida are the top two teams. At this point in the season, the rankings are relatively stable and will only change in the event of a major upset. (Not all upsets are equal. For instance, a close road loss to a respectable opponent may say more about the circumstances than the team that lost.) Curious about your team's record? Check out the strength of schedule page to see if they've earned it. (11/16/2008) SportsQuant in the NewsWe were cited in a recent article in the September/October, 2008 of Contingencies discussing fourth down strategy. Our October 13 rankings were featured in the October 17 edition of the Charlotte Observer (again, saved for posterity). We were profiled at the Purdue University Statistics Department in October. Our rankings (and a rather flattering profile) were printed in the October 18, 2006 edition of the Charlotte Observer. Learning from our previous mistake, we made sure to save a copy before the paper archived it. Our rankings were mentioned in the November 18, 2005 Kansas City Star. Until recently you could read about them at the newspaper's website, but News isn't news if it's old, and the article has been relegated to the archives.
Objective Sports AnalysisHave you ever complained at your favorite team's personnel decisions? Have you ever groused about your coach's play selection? Have you ever argued about who really is #1? So have we, and that's why we're here. At SportsQuant, we apply operations research1 methods to sports problems such as game strategy, player evaluation, injury profiling and salary-cap management. Conventional wisdom is easy to follow, and you'll seldom be criticized if it backfires. But is it really the best? Or is it a self-fulfilling prophecy. If everybody does it this way, where's the incentive to buck the trend and try something perceived as risky and unorthodox? Our strategy page asks these types of questions and offers answers based on mathematical modeling and analysis rather than opinion. At our research page, you'll find a range of techniques and problems we've been thinking about. There, you'll find links to interactive simulations, musings on player evaluation, an introduction to the nearly world-famous SportsQuant college football rankings and some research papers which we've authored. 1. OR, which has its origins in the Allied effort in WWII, is the quantitative study of complex systems. Of course the methods have advanced considerably over the past six decades, and continue to advance, including our contributions. |
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